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Intelligent, rational investors made some missteps prior to the crisis that resulted in significant losses of wealth. Many of the missteps are a result of popular misconceptions regarding major market events, diversification, and risk.
Unfortunately, many years later, these misconceptions still lay at the foundation of portfolio construction and expectations.
Identifying and understanding these misconceptions can help redefine portfolio construction and risk management, so investors can be better prepared for the next major market event.
There are a lot of misconceptions amongst investors as it relates to equity investment returns, hedged equity returns, and the math behind them. However, understanding the core mathematical principles driving investment returns can help investors make better investment decisions.
These core principles are often overlooked, ignored, or misunderstood by investors and will be explored in this paper for the purpose of strengthening the decision-making process.
1. The importance and power of compounding
2. The value of avoiding large losses
3. The importance of variance drain
4. The importance of a non-normal distribution of returns